Defence stocks, once the darlings of investors in 2024, are making a strong comeback after a steep fall. The sector saw a massive rally last year, fueled by rising global tensions and booming exports. However, high valuations, budget concerns, and profit-taking led to a sharp selloff. Just when doubts started creeping in about their long-term growth, Europe’s ambitious $850 billion defense plan has flipped the script, opening up fresh opportunities in the market.
Europe’s Bold Move to Strengthen Defense
The European Union’s decision comes at a crucial moment, with the U.S. pulling back military aid to Ukraine. This shift signals a change in global defense strategies. To counter emerging threats, the EU has urged member states to ramp up their defense budgets by 1.5% of GDP. This push translates into an estimated EUR 650 billion ($683 billion) in spending over the next four years.
Adding to this, the EU has unveiled a EUR 150 billion ($157 billion) joint borrowing plan. The funds will be directed towards air and missile defense, artillery, munitions, and drones. Altogether, the “ReArm Europe” initiative could unlock a total investment of EUR 800 billion ($850 billion) in military strengthening.
Why Indian Defence Stocks Stand to Gain
The EU’s defense expansion is poised to benefit Indian companies that have already made their mark in the global arms market. Firms like Bharat Dynamics, Solar Industries, and Bharat Electronics, which have previously supplied equipment to Armenia and other countries, are in prime position to ride this wave of increased spending.
- More Demand for Defense Tech: The surge in European military budgets is likely to boost demand for advanced weapons systems, benefiting Indian manufacturers.
- Export Expansion: With global defense spending rising, Indian firms could see higher export orders from European nations.
- Strategic Collaborations: Potential partnerships between Indian and European defense firms could enhance technology sharing and expand market reach.
- Policy Alignment: India’s Atmanirbhar Bharat push aligns well with global trends, potentially unlocking government contracts and tenders abroad.
India’s Soaring Defense Exports
India’s defense exports have hit a record Rs 21,000 crore in FY24, a 33% increase from the previous year. The government, under its “Make in India” initiative, is pushing for self-reliance in defense manufacturing and aims to scale exports to Rs 50,000 crore by 2029.
Elara Securities reports that the top three buyers of Indian defense products are the U.S., France, and Armenia. Indian firms have supplied a wide range of military hardware, including:
Equipment | Examples |
---|---|
Artillery & Missiles | 155mm artillery, Akash air defense missile, Pinaka multi-launch rocket system, BrahMos missile |
Aircraft | Dornier-228 aircraft, fuselage & wings for aircraft & helicopters |
Armored Vehicles | Bulletproof vests, night vision equipment, electronics |
Radar & Surveillance | Advanced radars and communication systems |
With new contracts rolling in, the future looks bright for India’s defense sector.
Stocks to Keep an Eye On
Several stocks have already started reflecting investor optimism, making notable gains in March. Here are some of the top picks:
Zen Technologies Ltd
- Trading at Rs 1,197 on Tuesday
- Up 20% this March
- Currently 52% below its 52-week high
Bharat Dynamics Ltd
- Trading at Rs 1,120 on Tuesday
- Up 16% this March
- Currently 37% below its 52-week high
Data Patterns (India)
- Trading at Rs 1,574 on Tuesday
- Up 13% this March
- Currently 55% below its 52-week high
Bharat Electronics
- Trading at Rs 275 on Tuesday
- Up 12% this March
- Currently 19% below its 52-week high
Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL)
- Trading at Rs 3,429 on Tuesday
- Up 12% this March
- Currently 39% below its 52-week high
Paras Defence Ltd
- Trading at Rs 897 on Tuesday
- Up 10% this March
- Currently 39% below its 52-week high
Other potential gainers include Solar Industries India Ltd, MTAR Technologies Ltd, DCX Systems Ltd, Cochin Shipyard Ltd, and GRSE Ltd.