The bromance is officially over. Donald Trump has gone from calling Elon Musk a “genius” to now demanding his businesses face federal scrutiny — and he wants their own agency to do it.
It’s a very public fallout between two of the most influential and unpredictable men in America. And it could have far-reaching consequences — not just for crypto markets, but also for billions in federal subsidies and the shaky bridge between Silicon Valley and Washington.
From Alliance to Aggression
It wasn’t that long ago that Trump and Musk were clinking metaphorical champagne glasses over DOGE — their shiny new government agency meant to slash red tape and celebrate tech’s role in America’s future.
Now? Trump wants DOGE to investigate Musk. Let that sink in.
On Truth Social, Trump accused Musk of building his empire “off the backs of taxpayers,” claiming his fortune would dry up without federal help. In typical Trump fashion, the post was less policy, more punchline: “Without [subsidies], he’d probably have to pack up and go back to South Africa.”
One insider close to Trump said the post wasn’t a one-off. “He’s furious,” the source said. “Elon humiliated him publicly. This is retaliation.”
DOGE: The Agency Built by Bros… and Now a Battleground
DOGE — short for Department of Government Efficiency — was born in early 2025. It was part political stunt, part sincere attempt at reform. The name? A cheeky wink at Dogecoin, the meme currency Musk once called “the people’s crypto.”
Trump and Musk sold it as a symbol: government and innovation joining forces. For a hot minute, it worked. Investors loved it. Memes exploded. Musk even floated a DOGE token (it flopped).
But that PR honeymoon didn’t last. By spring, tensions bubbled. By summer, the gloves were off.
Musk apologized publicly after trashing Trump’s legislative crown jewel, the One Big Beautiful Bill. In a tweet that got over 90 million views, Musk slammed the bill’s “insanity,” warning it could torch the budget by over $3 trillion.
Trump’s response? Bare-knuckled. “Maybe it’s time DOGE took a real look at Elon,” he posted.
Crypto, Cash, and Conflicting Interests
What makes this split more volatile is how deep both men are in crypto.
Tesla still holds around $1.2 billion in Bitcoin, despite earlier sell-offs. Musk’s platform X has made crypto tipping and wallet integration a core part of its monetization strategy. He’s also quietly backed smaller coins and NFT protocols.
Trump, meanwhile, has reinvented himself as crypto’s political godfather.
Here’s where things get tangled:
Trump is backed by World Liberty Financial, a DeFi group under federal scrutiny.
His campaign accepted donations via NFTs and Bitcoin this year.
He’s reportedly met with major crypto mining CEOs — including executives from Hut 8 and Marathon Digital.
In other words, both men have a lot riding on how the government treats digital assets.
Yet Trump now appears to want Musk to face the very regulatory wolves he’s been trying to keep at bay.
The Budget Blow-Up That Sparked It All
The final straw? Trump’s legislative pet project — the One Big Beautiful Bill — which critics say is a Frankenstein monster of tax cuts, crypto deregulation, and anti-immigration policy.
Musk called it reckless. Economists agreed. The Congressional Budget Office estimated it could increase the deficit by $3.3 trillion over ten years, even factoring in optimistic growth projections.
In response, Musk tweeted: “Only the debt ceiling can force fiscal discipline.” It was a jab — subtle, but cutting.
Trump didn’t appreciate the tone. And instead of a policy rebuttal, he went personal.
Two days later, the Truth Social post dropped.
Fallout: What’s at Stake?
This isn’t just a catfight. Billions in government contracts, tax incentives, and regulatory protections hang in the balance.
Musk’s companies — from SpaceX to Tesla to Neuralink — rely heavily on federal contracts and subsidies. According to a 2023 Government Accountability Office report, Musk-linked ventures have received over $16 billion in federal awards since 2015.
Here’s a snapshot:
Company | Estimated Federal Support Since 2015 |
---|---|
SpaceX | $5.4 billion |
Tesla | $6.1 billion |
Neuralink | $700 million |
Boring Company | $400 million |
Starlink (DoD deals) | $3.5 billion |
Even a hint of federal retaliation could spook markets. Tesla shares dipped 3.1% after Trump’s post. X, still privately held, saw advertisers quietly pause crypto campaigns.
One former White House official warned: “Trump’s not bluffing. He knows how much leverage the government has.”
Musk’s Strategy: Silence or Sarcasm?
Interestingly, Musk hasn’t gone full Twitter war mode — yet.
Instead, his responses have been passive-aggressive at most. No direct mention of Trump, no threads. Just that one fiscal discipline tweet. Some close to Musk say he’s trying to avoid escalation.
“He knows Trump thrives on chaos,” one X exec said anonymously. “He won’t feed it.”
But privately, Musk is said to be fuming. A close associate told Bloomberg that Musk believes Trump “used him” to sell the DOGE vision — only to flip when he stopped playing nice.
And now?
DOGE might actually end up investigating the guy who co-founded it.