Bitcoin flirted with the $97,000 mark in early Asian hours Wednesday, jolting crypto markets back to life as traders reacted to the announcement of the first high-level U.S.-China trade talks in years.
The meeting, set to take place in Switzerland over the weekend, is seen as a thaw in what’s been a frosty economic relationship since the trade war ignited under former President Donald Trump. That spark was enough to push Bitcoin to an intraday high of $97,400 before settling around $96,858—still up 2.8% in 24 hours.
Ether also picked up some steam, climbing 1.6% to $1,827.
A Long-Awaited Sit-Down Lifts Risk Appetite
Scott Bessent, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, and Jamieson Greer, U.S. Trade Representative, are expected to sit down with Chinese delegates in what both sides have billed as a “reset” moment. It’s the first such gathering since 2019.
For investors, that’s a big deal.
Markets are hungry for stability after months of fragmented monetary policies and sporadic global tensions. The idea of the world’s two biggest economies talking—actually talking—felt like oxygen in a stifling room.
“There’s a sentiment shift happening,” said Arjun Lohia, strategist at Crescent Hill Advisors. “If the U.S. and China are moving toward re-engagement, that’s bullish not just for crypto, but risk assets across the board.”
Even if it’s just optics, it’s working for now.
Bitcoin’s Surge: Sentiment or Substance?
Is Bitcoin flying because of fundamentals? Not really.
It’s mostly sentiment. But right now, that’s more than enough.
One analyst on X (formerly Twitter) called this move a “geo-political pump,” and they’re not wrong. Crypto is known for being extremely sensitive to headline-driven momentum. And this week, headlines have delivered.
Don’t forget the backdrop:
The Federal Reserve is sending mixed signals about interest rate cuts.
There’s fresh fear over traditional banking liquidity.
And now, geopolitical flare-ups are entering the chat.
Put it all together, and traders see Bitcoin not just as a tech play, but as a hedge—however imperfect.
“Bitcoin isn’t immune to global drama, but it often thrives in it,” said Melinda Tran, head of digital asset strategy at Crossbeam Capital.
India-Pakistan Clashes Stir Broader Unease
Just as Bitcoin started its move higher, news broke from South Asia.
Indian military operations struck nine targets inside Pakistan, including disputed areas of Kashmir. The report, confirmed by Reuters, spooked bond markets and sent oil prices ticking higher.
Asia’s equities held up for the most part, but the nerves were visible.
Here’s where it gets tricky: while diplomatic progress between the U.S. and China buoyed investor mood, escalating military tension in a nuclear-armed neighborhood reminded everyone how fragile things really are.
Markets don’t like being reminded of that.
Rate Cuts from China Boost Regional Equities
The People’s Bank of China stepped in again with more easing—cutting the seven-day reverse repo rate to 1.4% and trimming the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5%. Both moves were seen as efforts to reignite lending and spark consumer activity.
The Hang Seng responded with a 1.7% jump.
The CSI 300 ticked up 0.57%, helped along by positive earnings from tech and industrial giants. A few key movers:
Tencent rose 2.1% after announcing a share buyback.
BYD gained 1.9% as electric vehicle sales outpaced forecasts.
Ping An Insurance edged up 0.8% on upbeat guidance.
For context, here’s how Asian indices performed Wednesday morning:
| Index | Change |
|---|---|
| Hang Seng | +1.7% |
| CSI 300 | +0.57% |
| Nikkei | -0.12% |
| Topix | +0.27% |
| Kospi | +0.36% |
Wall Street Looks Past the Party
U.S. markets, meanwhile, weren’t quite in the mood to celebrate.
The Dow slid 0.95%. The S&P 500 fell 0.77%. The Nasdaq lost 0.87%.
That slump wasn’t just about geopolitics. It was more about mixed economic data and uncertainty around interest rate paths. Some investors believe the Fed is closer to pausing; others think they’ll hold out until Q3.
One sentence from Chair Powell last week—“We’re watching the data very carefully”—has been reinterpreted a dozen ways.
So, while Asia leaned into optimism, Wall Street kept its guard up.
Crypto Traders Brace for Weekend Volatility
The next few days could be choppy.
Not only is the U.S.-China meeting expected this weekend, but crypto markets tend to see bigger price swings during low-volume Saturday and Sunday sessions.
Some traders are anticipating a fake-out—one of those classic “sell-the-news” setups. Others think a breakout to six figures for Bitcoin is inevitable this quarter.
“People have been calling for $100k Bitcoin since 2021,” said Zachary Wong, crypto portfolio manager at Orion Digital. “But this time, we’ve got macro momentum. Not just hype.”
Still, there’s no consensus.
And in crypto, when there’s no consensus, volatility wins.
